markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=61.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=57.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?': YES=16.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov
Polymarket top market 'Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=24.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=34.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=73.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?': YES=59.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket