markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spread: Norway (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-4.5)': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 10?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=24.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=10.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Draymond Green play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=37.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=55.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=63.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=14.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=8.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=56.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=33.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket