markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-11Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellien
Polymarket top market 'Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellien': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=30.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Spread: Norway (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-4.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Jerome Kym
Polymarket top market 'Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Jerome Kym': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=23.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?': YES=16.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Newport: Greet Minnen vs Katie Volynets
Polymarket top market 'Newport: Greet Minnen vs Katie Volynets': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
NRGmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Braunschweig: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Gaston': YES=68.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
OPENAImarket:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-14?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-1.5)': YES=9.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=47.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=44.00%
NRGmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5': YES=80.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Erling Haaland: 1+ goals': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=95.90%
market:polymarket