markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs Seattle Orcas': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brandon Lowe hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Juan Soto hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=51.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Trout hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=37.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket