markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=35.56%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?': YES=15.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=82.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=7.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=20.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=10.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iasi Open, Qualification: Irina Fetecau vs Tatiana Pieri': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=3.20%

Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=95.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=89.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?': YES=97.50%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=62.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=4.80%

Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open, Qualification: Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteiro': YES=61.00%