markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-12Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=93.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=20.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Games Total: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Games Total: O/U 3.5': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=10.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=35.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket