markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,647 events on 2026-07-12role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-07-12Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=91.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.30%
XAImarket:polymarket
2026-07-12US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Adam Walton
Polymarket top market 'Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Adam Walton': YES=19.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Polymarket top market 'Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Polymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Polymarket top market 'Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=5.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo
Polymarket top market 'New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=45.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=98.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-12Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket