markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 12?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 2+ goals': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?
Polymarket top market 'Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)': YES=1.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-14?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5': YES=13.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=18.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 1+ goals': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5': YES=88.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5': YES=32.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket