markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Spread: Norway (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-4.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Harry Kane: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Harry Kane: 1+ goals': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)': YES=90.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=30.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?
Polymarket top market 'Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=6.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Erling Haaland: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Erling Haaland: 2+ goals': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=49.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?': YES=16.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5': YES=94.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Spread: Norway (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-2.5)': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-14?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket