markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Spread: England (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-2.5)': YES=11.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5': YES=79.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5': YES=69.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Spread: England (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-3.5)': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-1.5)': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Juan Soto hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Erling Haaland: 1+ goals': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=33.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=28.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Trout hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?': YES=24.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=20.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=53.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket