markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,700 events on 2026-07-14role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

← prev day2026-07-14next day →all history

2026-07-14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=31.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=19.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=29.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Polymarket top market 'Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=15.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=40.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Polymarket top market 'Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Polymarket top market 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Polymarket top market 'Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=49.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Polymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-14?': YES=40.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Polymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=59.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket