markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=34.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=14.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=55.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5': YES=76.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=31.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?': YES=28.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=29.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=15.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=40.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=19.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket