markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=67.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=31.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=39.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=35.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=22.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=58.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket