markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Alexandra Shubladze': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16France vs. England: Team to Win
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Team to Win': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16France vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Lautaro Midon': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cordenons: Hugo Dellien vs Enrico Dalla Valle': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=89.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys': YES=85.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket