markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=16.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'China x Japan military clash before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=85.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=40.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=40.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucks': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger
Polymarket top market 'Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=23.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=11.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=12.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'China x Philippines military clash before 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket