markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=18.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?': YES=87.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=22.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=10.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Boston Red Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 17?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17France vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 17?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17France vs. England: O/U 6.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 6.5': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17France vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket