markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=96.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea
Polymarket top market 'Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=38.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-07-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-07-17?': YES=10.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=32.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawford': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Boston Red Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17France vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=77.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17France vs. England: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 0.5': YES=96.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=58.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 2 Winner': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Athletics': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=34.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket