markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,713 events on 2026-07-17role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data

← prev day2026-07-17next day →all history

2026-07-16Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=58.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=93.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=49.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-16New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket