markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs OpTic Texas (BO9) - Call of Duty League Championship Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 20?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Riley Greene lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=2.15%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Duren play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=11.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
DEEPSEEKmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-20Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa
Polymarket top market 'Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=30.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-20Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-20Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-20Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=47.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajal
Polymarket top market 'Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajal': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket