markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?': YES=63.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=12.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick
Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick': YES=57.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 21?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuan': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 21?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=27.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Generali Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco Trungelliti': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket