markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenko': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=45.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=42.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Segovia: Alastair Gray vs Akira Santillan': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=98.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=93.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=27.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=41.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket