markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?': YES=98.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=26.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Elsa Jacquemot': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=83.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=38.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.70%
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