markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-23?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-23?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Palermo: Dalila Spiteri vs Lucia Bronzetti': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=29.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=14.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=0.10%
TLNmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-23Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=73.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket