markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=10.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=7.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 24?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=24.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=17.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 24?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-24Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?': YES=29.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket