markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=57.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=11.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Toby Samuel
Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Toby Samuel': YES=13.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Union Raiffeisen Gurten vs. FC Blau-Weiß Linz: O/U 3.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=73.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 24?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=6.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=13.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-24Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.20%
GOOGLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-24Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket