markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=60.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=74.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=63.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=77.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket