markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=91.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=13.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=97.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=99.40%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=97.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=22.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
GOOGLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-26Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=19.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket