markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-26Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-25?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=96.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-25?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=9.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-25?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=19.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-07-25?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=19.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-25?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket