markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=9.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 27?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 27?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket