markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Edward Winter': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-07-26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=43.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 27?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyreva': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Katherine Sebov vs Maria Aran Teixido Garcia': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will CD Comerciantes Unidos win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=96.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarket