markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)': YES=98.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Lahore Qalandars': YES=97.00%
AMZNmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-26?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=48.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket