markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-28Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=46.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Samsun: Max Basing vs Sidharth Rawat
Polymarket top market 'Samsun: Max Basing vs Sidharth Rawat': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=51.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena
Polymarket top market 'Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 28?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=79.50%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 28?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=85.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=21.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=67.90%
market:polymarket