markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=45.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?': YES=98.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=33.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to Advance': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silva': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=88.30%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=30.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=10.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=13.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket