markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-29Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=8.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5': YES=18.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket