markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=14.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: PCIFIC vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins': YES=96.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=99.90%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
SOFTBANKmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=79.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshi
Polymarket top market 'Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshi': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stage': YES=0.10%
SOFTBANKmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=96.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket