markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=2.40%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=66.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket