markets
Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi2,656 events on 2026-08-01role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless
Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-31Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=49.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket