markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-02?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-02?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-08-02?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debru': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=96.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-02?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket