markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-03Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?': YES=96.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=13.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=20.90%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket