markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group D
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group D': YES=99.90%
NXTmarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Day': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batalla': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket