markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by August 15?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-02?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings
Polymarket top market 'Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-03Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner': YES=95.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Spread: CF América (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: CF América (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-02?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=46.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket