markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03LGD Gaming to win 2-0?
Polymarket top market 'LGD Gaming to win 2-0?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=98.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket