markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,728 events on 2026-08-03role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-08-02U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02LGD Gaming to win 2-0?
Polymarket top market 'LGD Gaming to win 2-0?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants
Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=42.30%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone
Polymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will FC København win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC København win on 2026-08-02?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar
Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Polymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket
2026-08-02Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket