markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-02LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Jaume Munar vs Rinky Hijikata': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket