markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Amanda Anisimova': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Blockx': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapova': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: TLN Pirates vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
TLNmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-04Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: ZYB Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper': YES=97.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket