markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallants': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-05?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Chelsea FC vs. Juventus Turin: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Chelsea FC vs. Juventus Turin: O/U 1.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkieta': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-05?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-05?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=88.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Warsaw: Martyna Kubka vs Mona Barthel
Polymarket top market 'Warsaw: Martyna Kubka vs Mona Barthel': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuan
Polymarket top market 'Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuan': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Fajing Sun
Polymarket top market 'Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Fajing Sun': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket