markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-04?': YES=34.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=88.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD?': YES=10.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-04?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=85.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket