markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will EC Juventude vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Maze Gaming vs Malvinas Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5': YES=17.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-04?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkova': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-08-04?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=88.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: 7REX vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 4?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 4?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket