markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=53.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=84.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-04?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: RED Academy vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-04?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur': YES=10.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=37.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic': YES=98.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket