markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-06Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 6?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?': YES=85.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=84.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-062026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=26.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?': YES=16.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-06Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-06Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?': YES=93.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarket- 2026-08-06Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=29.90%
market:polymarket